Thursday, July 02, 2009

Real exchange rates

This story (via) reminds me of one of the first ever posts on D-Squared Digest, on the subject of the astonishing cheapness of British public officials and MPs, relative to the price of buying one in the USA.

As you can see, the going rate is $25,000 to have dinner at the publisher's house with 20 people, including "business leaders" (who might also have paid to be there), "opinion formers" (I think this means journos), "Congress members" (but presumably not important committee members or they'd have said, "advocacy leaders" (NGO types) and "other select minds" (presumably family members of the person hosting the thing).

Right, $25,000 is roughly fifteen grand sterling; can we do this? I've got a dining table with extension bits - twenty people would be a bit of a squeeze but doable. I bet I could get the catering done for under a thou, surely? So, what's the cost of eighteen great and goods (I'm assuming that clients will realise that when I say 20 guests, me and the missus are a gimme).

Hacks are surely still available for a free dinner and a crate of light ale - Ozdiller stores is doing slabs of Tyskie for £15, but I suspect that I would be pushing it too far if I got more than three or four of them to my "Salon". So say £100 for four journalists - three @ £15, plus £55 for a decent mixed half-case from Majestic to bring in someone at more of the senior editorial columnist level. I might push the boat out substantially more for a Max Hastings or Simon Jenkins figure, but if I did, it would substitute for some of the higher-ticket attendees further down the bill.

"Advocacy leaders" sound like they'd come a bit more expensive as you have to have someone who's more recognisably in charge of something in order to make it clear that your person from Oxfam isn't the manager of a charity shop. But on the other hand, they're quite poorly paid and I think I could gather a brace for no more than £150 a head, so £300 cash outlay.

Now it starts getting a bit more expensive. "Staffers" means Special Advisors in the British context - most of these people are either slumming academics or hacks with ideas above their station, but lots of them have developed expensive tastes I think that we're talking case of decent champers money. And you probably need at least four of them to make the event look like it's got the movers and shakers. I don't see myself filling out the SpAd ranks for less than three grand.

and then we need MPs and "business leaders", and the "business leaders" are going to have to look at least reasonably respectable. On the other hand, of course, the sponsors paying for the thing will consider themselves to be "business leaders" and there's an obvious opportunity to double-dip here. So I get maybe two business leaders at zero cost, and shell out perhaps a grand's worth of bribery to get a solid FTSE350 CEO along. Be conservative, say £1500 budget for three business leaders.

Now, elected representatives don't come super cheap, but they're not wildly expensive and I think I can get away with presenting a decidedly mixed bag in terms of quality. Say one PPS, one former minister has-been, one cheeky chappie backbencher with a media profile and one callow young no-mark. Average cost, what, £1500 a body? £4500 for four MPs strikes me as reasonable.

That leaves two spots to fill with "other select minds", who might be random friends and family available for zip, but just to be sure I'll assume this means after dinner speakers. Two from the cheaper end of this price list means a final £3k.

So that makes ... what ... £1000 catering, £100 hacks, £300 advocates, £3000 SpAds, £1500 businessmen, £4500 MPs, £3000 jokers - £13,400. So that's £1600 for my profit - to be honest, this seems rather crappy return, particularly as it has to cover the cost of getting my carpet cleaned once they've all effed off. I bet that the Washington Post is hoping to get at least a 20% gross margin on this one, clearing $50k for the series of ten.

On the basis of this calculation, I therefore conclude that British opinion-formers are too expensive relative to American ones, and that therefore the pound is overvalued.

Update: Ajay, in comments, suggests plausibly that the double-dipping is fundamental to this wheeze. Selling the first one covers the costs, but selling the same "Salon" (oh god, cringe) to a second "sponsor" is pure profit. That clearly changes the economics of the whole thing and makes the exchange rate call a little more complicated. So scratch that one.

18 comments:

  1. Ah, but
    1) the WP is offering "maximum of two sponsors per salon" - at $25k each. Therefore the revenue for your effort will be £30k, not £15k, and your profit margin looks... significantly more impressive.

    2) I think there's a chance to double dip on a lot of the others to be honest. I'm sure that the journalists, and possibly also the advocacy leaders, might not need paying - after all, they're getting a few hours of face time with, possibly, some fairly important people (potential sources/donors), and a free dinner.

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  2. Fuck, do you think that's what they mean? I read that originally as "Sponsoring the thing entitles you to a maximum of two places at the dinner".

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  3. That's what I thought at first as well, which made me wonder how they were making it work financially... but this bit seems fairly unambiguous:
    "Offered at $25,000 per sponsor, per Salon. Maximum of two sponsors per Salon. Underwriters’ CEO or Executive Director participates in the discussion."
    (underwriter seems to mean the same thing as sponsor here)

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  4. "Maximum of two" seems like a real misnomer here doesn't it - the economics simply don't work unless you get two of them.

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  5. Well, the economics for the Washington Post might be a bit different, since the journalists would presumably come free - I agree that's not a huge line item - and the NGOs might come free as well on the grounds that doing a favour for the editor of the Washington Post is never a bad idea, publicity-wise.

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  6. Is a dinner that much different from a turn the handle speaking engagement - it's all time to these people. My company once paid a pre-FSA and pensions review Adair Turner £10k for a 2 hour talk. I'd imagine he'd want something similar to turn up to dinner.

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  7. Your dinner plan involves plying the hacks with cheap plonk while the special guests get the nice champagne. How's that going to work? If you employ footmen to pour the wine so that the discrimination isn't offensively obvious, I doubt your catering is going to come in at £1000.

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  8. Hmm. For some reason it seems obvious to me that they didn't intend to share any of that cash with anybody, except maybe for some light snack.

    They would take all $25K (or $50K) simply for providing the service of bringing all those folks together. They would let their guest figure out who is going to be paying whom and how much.

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  9. There is no need for footmen; the etiquette for these things is that one delivers the booze to the bribee's office the next day, discreetly with a "Thank you for attending our 'Salon'" card.

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  10. belle le triste7/03/2009 04:50:00 AM

    The disgust at the S-word is widespread, it seems. Here's WH spokesman Robert Gibbs: "Obviously, the counsel would have to review an invitation like this, and I think it would likely exceed what the counsel would be -- the -- what the -- the -- what -- the salon that The Washington Post is offering would likely exceed what the counsel would feel in this case would be appropriate.''

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  11. The business model is basically the SpEx (Sponsorship & Exhibition) bit of a conference; adding a further sponsor has practically zero cost and significant revenue, so you want to plaster as many logos on the front page of the brochure as possible.

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  12. Conferences are a brilliant industry btw; you charge people a fee for the privilege of showing their goods off to people who you charge for the privilege of looking at them.

    It's only conference organisers and Peter Stringfellow who manage to get that sort of cost/revenue structure.

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  13. And nail bars, apparently.

    (Tax tribunal reports are surprisingly good sources of information as to how the grey economy works, BTW. All of the above regularly crop up in cases, particularly VAT, duty and PAYE ones.)

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  14. e.g. this case:-

    http://www.bailii.org/cgi-bin/markup.cgi?doc=/uk/cases/UKVAT/2007/V20180.html&query=spearmint+and+rhino&method=boolean

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  15. you charge people a fee for the privilege of showing their goods off to people who you charge for the privilege of looking at them.

    For long and irrelevant reasons, we spent half an hour in a trade show without paying to get in the other weekend. The other half was terrifically embarrassed about having blagged our way in, and waved away the various proffered freebies muttering no, it's all right... we're not really here... Having been in the business, I could reassure her that, once we'd made it past the jobsworth lurking in the front entrance, it was a matter of sublime indifference to the stallholders whether we'd paid to get in or not. If our freeloading presence enabled them to end the day having given away two more bags of promotional tat (or even, in one case, having served two more free ice-creams) they'd feel nothing but gratitude.

    It is a funny sort of business, which in my experience attracts people who not only like the idea of getting something for nothing but feel vaguely that it's their moral duty. But enough about my ex-boss.

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  16. Conferences are only fun if you get comped. Though I'm sure that for those paying full whack, it's still tax deductible at the end of the year.

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  17. There's a mathematicians' conference going on in the small town I'm staying in. They have a fucking notice on the door inviting participants to work out the door-opening code by way of an equation.

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  18. nick s> Depends very much on the facts on the ground, and how truly wholly, exclusively and necessary it is for work - there was a recent case when a trainee doctor managed to claim back the cost of obligatory training courses her trust refused to pay, but a more tenuously related jolly would probably fail. (Of course, if its on expenses, the topic wouldn't normally come up, and the employer would claim a tax deduction for the costs f'sure.) For self-employed, the necessary test gets a bit looser, as the 'necessary' leg of the test is dropped.

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