Economics and similar, for the sleep-deprived
A subtle change has been made to the comments links, so they no longer pop up. Does this in any way help with the problem about comments not appearing on permalinked posts, readers?
Update: seemingly not
Update: Oh yeah!
Monday, July 31, 2006
Adventures in prediction ...
From back in the dawn of history, when there were still a couple of sane people commenting at Harry's Place (yes I was one of them you cheeky kids), on July 12, I want to preserve this priceless exchange.
"Gene":
Here's a not-so-hypothetical situation submitted for your consideration.
--In May 2000 Israel withdraws all of its forces from southern Lebanon.
--In June 2000 the United Nations certifies that Israel has complied with Security Council Resolution 425, calling for the withdrawal of Israeli forces from Lebanon.
--In July 2006, Hezbollah launches dozens of Katyusha rockets and mortar bombs from Lebanon at the Israeli town of Shlomi and at Israeli outposts in the Shebaa Farms area. Hezbollah forces cross the UN-recognized border from Lebanon into Israel, kill three Israeli soldiers, kidnap two others and take them back into Lebanon.
What should Israel do now?
Me:
Cut off their electricity and bomb their bridges?
Gene:
It was a serious question, dsquared. Do you have a serious answer?
Not 48 hours later, when it turned out that this was indeed the plan, Gene moved to the point of view that this was the rational, indeed the only response. It was so seamless I am not sure if he even realised he was doing it himself.
Of course I cannot really claim any prediction prizes as I certainly did not realise things would get anything like this horrible.
this item posted by the management 7/31/2006 12:53:00 AM
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